أثر الاقتصاد غير الرسمي على البطالة في الجزائر دراسة قياسية بنموذج الانحدار الذاتي لفترات الابطاء الموزعة (أردل) في الفترة 2015-1999

Abstract

The purposeof this paperis to test the impact of the informal economy on unemployment in Algeria during the period 1991-2015 using the cointegration approach, proposed by Pesaran and all (2001) and the Autoregressive Distributed Lags model (ARDL ) proposed by Pesaran and shin (1999), for the purpose of estimating both short- and longtermelasticities. The theoretical results of the research concluded that there is an inverse relationship between the informal economy and unemployment, which is considered as way to absorb unemployment. while on the econometric side, the study concluded that there is a positive relationship between the two variables, which contradicts the expectations of the economic theory, which assumes an inverse relationship between them.