النمذجة القياسية لأثر التنمية المالية على النمو الاقتصادي في الجزائر خلال الفترة 1996_2024

Abstract

This study aimed to measure and analyze the impact of financial development indicators on non-hydrocarbon economic growth in Algeria, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model on time series data spanning the period from 1996 to 2024. The study found a long-run cointegration relationship among the study variables, with a positive and significant effect of financial depth on non-hydrocarbon economic growth, while both government expenditure and domestic credit directed to the private sector showed a negative and significant effect — reflecting weak banking intermediation efficiency, as well as insufficient direction of government spending toward productive investment.